Scenario 1: How 2012 Could Play Out Well for the Market

This is my musing on how the world might play out in 2012 with respect to the financial markets.  I'll put forth other scenarios in the coming days.  The US economy makes a slight recovery, with lower unemployment and some growth.  People take this as a sign that we are moving into a real recovery.  President Obama gets reelected and manages to inspire Americans again.  The debt crisis in Europe gets a temporary fix.  Europe's economy is stagnant but not awful.  China moves sideways in terms of growth.  Investors begin to forget about the volatility of recent years and react accordingly.  They particularly fear missing out on the beginning of another run up.  The US stock indices advance 10-15%.